Tallahassee, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

010
FXUS62 KTAE 191813
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
213 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 206 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

- Severe to exceptional drought will continue or worsen with no
  rainfall and a warming trend over the next week.

- Warm and fair weather will make beaches attractive. Be aware of
  what beach flags are flying and what they mean with respect to
  rip currents if visiting.

&&

.SHORT TERM & LONG TERM...
(This Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 206 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

The last vestiges of colder air leave the region heading into
tomorrow as the troughing along the East Coast begins to depart off
into the Atlantic. Looking back to our west, anomalously strong
ridging will build over the western two-thirds of the CONUS. This
will bring a warming trend with temperatures returning to above
normal levels heading into the weekend and early next week.

Lows tonight will be in the low to mid 40s for most with mostly
clear skies. Heading into Friday, highs will rise to the mid to
upper 70s. The warming trend continues into the weekend as ridging
builds eastward with highs in the low to mid 80s and lows in the
50s. With a bit more moisture return over the weekend, some patchy
fog may become possible Saturday and Sunday nights.

Early next week, a weak shortwave moves over the Great Lakes and
into the Northeast US on Monday, which flattens the eastern edge of
the ridge. This shortwave will send a cold front our way. Model
guidance has backed off on any (slightly) cooler temperatures as
well as any precip. Thus, the middle part of next week may have
temperatures a couple degrees cooler, but it won`t be much of a
noticeable change outside of a wind direction change. Highs
remain mostly in the 80s and lows stay in the 50s. Little to no
rain is expected through the next 7 days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 112 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Tempo vsby restrictions this afternoon due to smoke at ECP/TLH
with nearby prescribed forestry burns. Brief dips to MVFR vsbys
cannot be ruled out. Otherwise, light northeast winds to continue
today, becoming lgt/vbl after sunset with a few high clouds from
time to time.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 206 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Gentle northeasterly breezes tonight will become westerly to
southwesterly on Friday as high pressure slides south of our area.
Breezes become more moderate Sunday night into Monday ahead of a
cold front. Winds behind the front Monday night into Tuesday will
shift out of the northwest to north and remain moderate. Chances
of Small Craft Advisory thresholds being met are low (less than
20%).

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 206 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Near critical RH values are expected again Friday afternoon, mainly
across the Florida Big Bend into south central Georgia. Light north
to northeast winds tomorrow will become more southwesterly in the
afternoon as the afternoon sea breeze moves inland. This with high
mixing heights will generally lead to fair to good dispersions
Friday. Over the weekend, dispersions become high across inland
areas as westerly to southwesterly flow strengthens and mixing
heights increase. Daily afternoon sea breezes will enhance the
southwesterly winds, especially near and south of I-10. This flow
will also aid in increasing moisture, keeping RH values above
critical levels this weekend.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 206 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Little to no rain is forecast for the next 7 days. Drought remains
our only hydrologic concern. Severe to extreme drought continues for
most of the area. However, today`s release of the US Drought Monitor
now has a swath of Exceptional Drought across the southern row of
Georgia counties from Grady County eastward and into the upper
Suwannee Basin. For more information on local drought impacts, visit
www.weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   71  42  76  50 /   0   0   0   0
Panama City   69  49  71  56 /   0   0   0   0
Dothan        70  44  77  52 /   0   0   0   0
Albany        70  42  78  52 /   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      72  42  77  49 /   0   0   0   0
Cross City    72  39  77  44 /   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  69  51  69  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Young
LONG TERM....Young
AVIATION...Scholl
MARINE...Young
FIRE WEATHER...Young
HYDROLOGY...Young